What will you owe for 2026?

Your latest pay stub already says most of it. A few numbers from it carry the year to December 31, federal and state, and say what is left to pay or coming back in April, and whether the IRS would add a penalty.

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How will you file for 2026?

It sets your brackets and your standard deduction.

Why a paycheck can leave you owing

Withholding is set for one job and nothing else. Everything beside it is taxed in April.

Single in Illinois, paid $9,000 a month. Nine paychecks in, the stub says $81,000 paid, $11,300 of federal tax and $3,780 of state withheld, and $4,860 into the 401(k). Three paychecks are left.

And $20,000 from freelance work, with no estimates paid. That brings $2,826 of self-employment tax and income tax at 22% on top, and nothing withholds either.

The year comes to $25,402 of tax, federal and state. By December 31 the paychecks will have paid $20,108 of it, which leaves $5,294 to pay. Federal withholding is $2,573 short of the safe harbor, so $858 more from each paycheck left would avoid the penalty.

How it’s worked out

How is the rest of the year worked out?

From your latest pay stub's year-to-date column. Each paycheck left this year is added at the same size, so a bonus already paid isn't counted again and a raise already in is. Then Form 1040 in order: the $16,100 standard deduction ($32,200 married filing jointly), the brackets, $2,200 for each child under 17, self-employment tax and the business income deduction for a business, the 3.8% on investment income and the 0.9% Medicare surtax where they apply, and your state's own schedule.

What is the safe harbor?

The IRS adds a penalty when too little is paid during the year. Pay at least 90% of this year's tax, or 100% of last year's (110% if last year's income was over $150,000), through withholding and on-time estimated payments, and there is none, however the year turns out. Owing less than $1,000 at filing is never penalized.

Why fix it with my W-4 rather than an estimate?

Withholding counts as paid evenly through the year, whenever it actually comes out, so more withheld from the last few paychecks covers the earlier quarters too. A payment by January 15 covers only the last quarter. Line 4(c) of a new W-4 adds a fixed amount to each paycheck.

What does it leave out?

Capital gains count once you sell, so they are added in the app from a brokerage statement or by hand. Itemized deductions, education and energy credits, and income a stub doesn’t show (rentals, K-1s) are added there too, or read from last year’s return. State tax follows your state’s own deductions, exemptions and Social Security and pension rules, close but not a state return.

Is my information kept?

Not unless you make an account. The answers stay in your browser. With an account they become your tax profile, so the forecast opens on them and nothing is asked twice.

Working for yourself? The self-employment tax calculator works out each quarter’s estimate, and the Solo 401(k) calculator the most that can go in before tax.

Put more back in your pocket.

Reimburse keeps the year current as new pay stubs come in, prices every way to lower it, and reminds you before each deadline.